Jozsef Garai
Solar Cycle Prediction
Predicted Maximum Sunspot Numbers
Cycle 24: ------98 ± 21
Cycle 25: ------69 ± 15
Cycle 26: ------72 ± 15
Cycle 25 will be a long cycle (~13 years), maximum will occur five years following the minimum. I proposed impact generated shockwave for the origin of sunspots more than a decade ago. The predictions are based on the orbiting positions of the Jovian planets. Fitting to previous cycles is shown below.
Posted on June 10, 2009
Other predictions for Cycle 24:
111 ± 21 (N.J. Bhatt, R. Jain and M. Aggarwal) J. Astrophys. Astr. (2009) 30, 71-77.
90----------------NOAA
85 ± 30------ Marshall Space Flight Center
68 ± 17------ C. de Jagera and S. Duhaub J. Atm. Sol. Ter. Phys. 71 (2009) 239-245.
List of 45 predictions: W.D. Pesnell, Predictions of Solar Cycle 24